Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 4.377450 4.707508 5.062958 5.476428 5.947017 6.469405 7.098032
2025-08-24 3.803052 4.245281 4.752071 5.383984 6.162828 7.108300 8.370839
2025-08-31 3.536162 4.046536 4.656638 5.455782 6.500945 7.862385 9.847375
2025-09-07 3.310529 3.858135 4.533710 5.452859 6.713391 8.455133 11.200492
2025-09-14 3.054152 3.602980 4.294618 5.260615 6.630781 8.607936 11.917579
2025-09-21 2.867111 3.418707 4.127051 5.140035 6.622150 8.850669 12.809645
2025-09-28 2.725965 3.282305 4.009227 5.071995 6.673707 9.181251 13.915179
2025-10-05 2.637166 3.207747 3.966915 5.103200 6.871688 9.768070 15.638869
2025-10-12 2.576133 3.165383 3.963817 5.187923 7.158266 10.546217 17.991086
2025-10-19 2.520046 3.125445 3.959749 5.268137 7.443539 11.369858 20.763879
2025-10-26 2.455841 3.070000 3.928700 5.302060 7.651995 12.085329 23.601457
2025-11-02 2.381064 2.995487 3.864644 5.277235 7.752746 12.603244 26.172652
2025-11-09 2.271107 2.870328 3.725211 5.131095 7.639093 12.697041 27.707632
2025-11-16 2.184534 2.775823 3.627856 5.048800 7.638470 13.049375 30.373288
2025-11-23 2.141776 2.742293 3.619990 5.113496 7.921975 14.111772 36.506282
2025-11-30 2.086344 2.687237 3.575321 5.110863 8.072526 14.897950 42.480179
2025-12-07 1.995692 2.576316 3.438115 4.937442 7.858047 14.709809 43.717516
2025-12-14 1.925367 2.493224 3.340997 4.828472 7.765945 14.831547 46.843539
2025-12-21 1.870054 2.430558 3.273219 4.766916 7.766324 15.208095 52.054039
2025-12-28 1.837455 2.400802 3.256247 4.795153 7.961774 16.192891 63.268374
2026-01-04 1.816678 2.388016 3.265632 4.871767 8.273729 17.635753 82.924647
2026-01-11 1.796017 2.374431 3.272733 4.944235 8.586982 19.214334 112.958362
2026-01-18 1.768354 2.348856 3.258588 4.974862 8.806398 20.571686 152.789846